Polling Frenzy: Here are the Numbers

The first thing I did this morning was check for any new national poll results. It’s what I’ve been doing every morning for a few weeks, to get a sense of whether there is any movement. Where are things trending? I know that the next president will be determined in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, Wisconsin, or perhaps where the political season begins, in Iowa. But the state preferences and trends do seem to follow the national ones, so they’re worth watching, too.

The partisan talking heads pick a few polls each day on which to base their comments, and most commentators have staked themselves to the position that the polls are “all over the place,” essentially canceling each other out.

Well, let’s dip our toe into the polling pool and see what it says today. We’ll check back the next two Fridays:

Latest as of Oct. 22


Fox News

Bush 49 Kerry 42

Wash Post/ABC

Bush 51 Kerry 45

CNN/USA Today/Gallup

Bush 52 Kerry 44


Bush 48 Kerry 46


Bush 50 Kerry 45

CBS News

Bush 47 Kerry 45


Bush 46 Kerry 45

Pew Research Center

Bush 47 Kerry 47

Associated Press/IPSOS

Bush 46 Kerry 49

Key Battleground States

Penn. (NBC/Knight Ridder)

Bush 45 Kerry 46

Iowa (NBC/Knight Ridder)

Bush 49 Kerry 43

Ohio (Gallup)

Bush 47 Kerry 48

Florida (Mason Dixon)

Bush 48 Kerry 45

Michigan (Detroit News)

Bush 47 Kerry 43

Wisconsin (Gallup)

Bush 49 Kerry 46

–James Jewell

About Jim Jewell

I am a writer and consultant on faith and public life, active for many years in management and communications in the evangelical community. I now work as the director of the nonprofit practice at The Valcort Group (www.valcort.com). Everything on this blog, however, is my personal opinion and is not read or approved before it is posted. Opinions, conclusions and other information expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of Valcort.
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